New Hampshire was to be Senator Hillary Clinton's firewall after losing to Senator Barack Obama in the Iowa caucuses. Clinton did win in New Hampshire and she continued to win in the Michigan primary and the Nevada caucuses. But then came losses in South Carolina, Alabama and Alaska. In between these contests was a win by Hillary in Florida, and then Hillary went on a roll with wins in Arizona, Arkansas and California.
Since California Obama has won every primary and caucus except for important victories for Hillary in Massachusetts, New Jersey and New York. The large delegate numbers for those large states enabled Hillary to continue to maintain a slim lead in delegate count, but that lead evaporated last night with the Obama victories in Virginia, Maryland and D.C. So Hillary has set up the Texas primary as a second firewall.
If this Hillary strategy sounds familiar, you may be recall Mayor Rudy Guliani's strategy of making Florida his firewall. Rather than compete in Iowa, New Hampshire and other early states, Guliani focused nearly exclusively on Florida. He lost there and shortly thereafter bowed out of the race. If Hillary loses in Texas, Obama will be well on his way to securing the Democrat Party nomination. Stay tuned.
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